AFRICAN FUTURES – THREE TRAJECTORIES, AND THE INDICATORS THAT WILL SEPARATE THEM

Resource industrialisation, technological leapfrogging, integration from below — and the figures that will show which one is happening. (pp. 78 to 80) The decade in one sentence If the continental trade regime is implemented at even half its provisions, the projections published by continental institutions and multilateral banks converge on a doubling of intra-African trade by 2035. That is a target and not a forecast, and the distance between the two is where the real reporting lives — because the countries that reach it will be those that processed their minerals, trained their youth and kept their electoral promises, and the others will...